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What Is a Retirement Income Gap? How to Find and Fix Yours

2026-03-206 min read

The gap between guaranteed income and spending needs is the number that determines your portfolio withdrawal rate. Here is how to calculate it.

How Do You Calculate Your Income Gap?

Step 1: Determine annual retirement spending ($84,000/year in this example) Step 2: Sum guaranteed income sources: - Social Security (both spouses): $48,000/year - Pension: $18,000/year - Total guaranteed: $66,000/year Step 3: Income gap = $84,000 - $66,000 = $18,000/year

This $18,000/year gap must come from your portfolio. At a 4% withdrawal rate, you need $450,000 in investments to fill it. At a conservative 3.5% rate, you need $514,000.

The size of your gap — not your total portfolio — is the number that matters most. Someone with a $500,000 portfolio and a $12,000 gap (2.4% withdrawal rate) is in a stronger position than someone with $1.5M and a $75,000 gap (5% withdrawal rate).

What Are the Most Effective Ways to Close the Gap?

In order of impact:

1. Delay Social Security: Every year of delay from 62 to 70 increases benefits by 6-8%. Delaying from 62 to 70 can add $15,000-25,000/year to guaranteed income — directly reducing the gap.

2. Reduce spending: The spending sensitivity table shows the success rate at various spending levels. Even a $300/month reduction ($3,600/year) meaningfully closes the gap.

3. Part-time income: $15,000-20,000/year for 3-5 years eliminates the gap entirely during the critical early retirement period.

4. Pension annuity (keep it vs. lump sum): The pension closes the gap with guaranteed income. The lump sum closes it with portfolio assets. The analysis compares both.

5. SPIA purchase: Convert a portion of your portfolio to guaranteed income, directly reducing the gap.

Want to Calculate Your Income Gap?

The analysis at myaifinancialplan.com calculates your income gap automatically — showing the exact amount your portfolio needs to cover and the withdrawal rate this implies. Start free at myaifinancialplan.com.

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This article is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, financial planning advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. AI Financial Plan is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or financial planner. You should consult with a qualified professional before making financial decisions. Past performance and projected outcomes are not guarantees of future results.

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